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Old 05-15-2020, 06:39 PM   #3726
tooney
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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I think testing is overrated.
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Old 05-15-2020, 06:49 PM   #3727
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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I think testing is overrated.
Completely agree. Not to say it's not valuable, but it's definitely overrated. From a medical treatment standpoint, I haven't seen a single person that would have survived had they been diagnosed sooner.

From a public health/transmission standpoint, it's a lot more useful.
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Old 05-15-2020, 07:34 PM   #3728
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The numbers I would like to see posted is how many new hospitalizations each day, total daily inpatients and daily ICU cases.
This number is very low in OKC at this time for sure. It would tell us though if reopening has been ok or should be stopped. The hospital system here has clearly not been overwhelmed. As a matter of fact there has been a huge loss of jobs because of this pandemic. All hospital systems are struggling to stay afloat because of the lack of work.
If we truly were to have the surge we would be less prepared today because of the layoffs.
I posted this stuff a couple weeks back. The numbers were decreasing then too -- we peaked in terms of COVID confirmed hospitalizations on April 13th.

Two graphs. One is showing COVID + hospitalized patients and the subset of those patients that are ICU. The other graphs COVID + against "patients under investigation" (PUI). PUI have been admitted for COVID symptoms and for whom confirmatory testing is pending. Only a fraction of PUI end up testing positive for COVID.
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Old 05-15-2020, 08:33 PM   #3729
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

Latest possible death estimates from the CDC as of 5-11-2020



Dr. Robert R. Redfield
@CDCDirector

5h
CDC tracks 12 different forecasting models of possible #COVID19 deaths in the US. As of May 11, all forecast an increase in deaths in the coming weeks and a cumulative total exceeding 100,000 by June 1


https://twitter.com/CDCDirector/stat...06011039993856
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Old 05-19-2020, 02:23 PM   #3730
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

Oklahoma's number on RT.live is up to 0.93, 7th highest in the Union.

I wonder how much of that can be attributed to the mess they have on their hands up in Guymon.
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Old 05-19-2020, 02:55 PM   #3731
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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Oklahoma's number on RT.live is up to 0.93, 7th highest in the Union.

I wonder how much of that can be attributed to the mess they have on their hands up in Guymon.
That is still a good number. Anything under 1 is pretty good.
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Old 05-19-2020, 04:53 PM   #3732
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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That is still a good number. Anything under 1 is pretty good.
yes it is. good call.
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Old 05-19-2020, 06:09 PM   #3733
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

I've been watching RT.live ever since you linked it, WT. We had it down to 0.89 a couple of days ago. Anything under 1.00......that's what I'm counting on for my jangled nerves.

Guymon's a mess. I feel for those people. That's the definition of a hotspot.
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Old 05-19-2020, 06:24 PM   #3734
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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I've been watching RT.live ever since you linked it, WT. We had it down to 0.89 a couple of days ago. Anything under 1.00......that's what I'm counting on for my jangled nerves.

Guymon's a mess. I feel for those people. That's the definition of a hotspot.

I've noticed meat processing plants are a magnet for Covid. I wonder if it is plainly a function of people in close proximity to each other or something else is a fly in the ointment (I love salve).
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Old 05-19-2020, 08:54 PM   #3735
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

I saw a blurb about people who have tested negative a second time aren’t actually sick or contagious, but shedding dead virus. They apparently have immunity. If that is true, that’s great news.

It’s a Korean study.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...n-t-infectious

Last edited by mict085; 05-19-2020 at 08:59 PM.
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Old 05-19-2020, 11:48 PM   #3736
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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I've noticed meat processing plants are a magnet for Covid. I wonder if it is plainly a function of people in close proximity to each other or something else is a fly in the ointment (I love salve).
It's breathing space. they are stuck in one anothers' breathing space.
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Old 05-20-2020, 07:23 AM   #3737
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It's breathing space. they are stuck in one anothers' breathing space.
Yep, at meat processing plants they literally stand shoulder-to-shoulder hour after hour in poorly ventilated rooms. That's a recipe for disaster because of the way this virus is transmitted. It's all about sharing someone else's exhaled breath and it's why I won't be visiting a barber any time soon.
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Old 05-20-2020, 07:37 AM   #3738
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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I saw a blurb about people who have tested negative a second time arenít actually sick or contagious, but shedding dead virus. They apparently have immunity. If that is true, thatís great news.

Itís a Korean study.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...n-t-infectious
this would be great news
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Old 05-21-2020, 07:58 AM   #3739
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

More good news in this CDC update:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...dc/5232748002/
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Old 05-21-2020, 08:16 AM   #3740
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

Seems like OK has been doing pretty well with new cases and deaths over the last week. Hopefully we're turning the corner a bit.
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Old 05-21-2020, 09:04 AM   #3741
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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Seems like OK has been doing pretty well with new cases and deaths over the last week. Hopefully we're turning the corner a bit.
When this thread goes almost four days (from the 15th to the 19th) without a single post, that has to be a sign we have turned the corner.
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Old 05-21-2020, 09:48 AM   #3742
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When this thread goes almost four days (from the 15th to the 19th) without a single post, that has to be a sign we have turned the corner.

Silence is golden.
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Old 05-21-2020, 10:22 AM   #3743
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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Silence is golden.
Yes it is. Iím a people person who enjoys the company of others. I also enjoy my alone, quiet time.
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Old 05-21-2020, 04:06 PM   #3744
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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When this thread goes almost four days (from the 15th to the 19th) without a single post, that has to be a sign we have turned the corner.
Lots of watching and waiting. It appears all states are in the process of opening up. If anybody tells you they know how the next 1-2 months will go, they're liars.
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Old 05-21-2020, 08:13 PM   #3745
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

I think most would agree that the number of cases per day will go up....

The number of deaths will top 100,000 in the next few days.

What I worry about is the virus mutating into a deadlier strain.....with more cases, it would seem that there is a better chance of mutations.

Hopefully, they find a solution to all the problems being caused by the virus; I'm too young to die.....
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Old 05-21-2020, 08:20 PM   #3746
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What I worry about is the virus mutating into a deadlier strain.....with more cases, it would seem that there is a better chance of mutations.
It could happen. But I wouldn't bet on it
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Old 05-21-2020, 08:34 PM   #3747
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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I think most would agree that the number of cases per day will go up....

The number of deaths will top 100,000 in the next few days.

What I worry about is the virus mutating into a deadlier strain.....with more cases, it would seem that there is a better chance of mutations.

Hopefully, they find a solution to all the problems being caused by the virus; I'm too young to die.....
The number of cases can increase as long as those infected are not those who are at highest risk. If the number of cases dropped by 30%, but all those infected are the elderly then it's not really an ideal situation. Point being, those infected are more relevant than the nominal number itself.
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Old 05-22-2020, 06:55 AM   #3748
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

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Lots of watching and waiting. It appears all states are in the process of opening up. If anybody tells you they know how the next 1-2 months will go, they're liars.
This exactly, we are all holding our breath metaphorically.
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Old 05-22-2020, 05:36 PM   #3749
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Default Re: March Madness and Covid-19

Patrick Ewing has tested positive.
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Old 05-23-2020, 06:53 PM   #3750
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Remdesevir may not have failed, but the preliminary data they released is not overly impressive. Patients seem to recover a little quicker, but I'm expecting not to see any mortality benefit (hope I'm wrong, of course). Getting patients out of the hospital quicker is an obvious benefit, but seeing as this drug's effectiveness is in treating mild cases, it may paradoxically overload the hospital further (as many of those mild cases would otherwise be sent home). It's certainly not a home run, but a bloop single beats most of our work thus far.
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